Kerry's Conundrum
A recent Rasmussen Poll revealed that 64% of voters believe that American society is generally fair and decent. Additionally, 62% believe the world would be a better place if other countries became more like the United States. The really interesting demographic, however, is how these numbers break down by ideology:
Finally, consider this: if John Kerry attempts to mount a campaign with a positive vision of America, he will alienate close to 40% of his base.
Among Bush voters, 83% say that American society is generally fair and decent. Just 7% say it is basically unfair and discriminatory.Michael Barone, writing in U.S. News and World Report notes the difficulties this imposes on Kerry. How can he rally his base, when so many have a negative view of their country? This also helps explain why Howard Dean's unrelenting negativity was greeted with so much enthusiasm: nearly 40 percent of Democratic supporters have a bad view of not only George Bush, but of America in general.
While Bush voters are united behind this perception, Kerry voters are divided - 46% say fair and decent while 37% say unfair and discriminatory.
81% of Bush voters also believe the world would be better if other nations were more like the United States. This view is shared by just 48% of Kerry voters.
From an ideological perspective, 74% of conservatives say the world would be better if other nations were more like ours. Just 15% of conservatives believe it would be worse.
However, among self-identified liberals, the numbers are 49% better and 37% worse. A plurality of those who say they are very liberal believe the world would be in worse shape if other nations were more like ours.
Moderate voters, by a 3-to-1 margin think that having other nations more like us would create a better world.
Finally, consider this: if John Kerry attempts to mount a campaign with a positive vision of America, he will alienate close to 40% of his base.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home