Thursday, January 15, 2004

Global Warming 

Al Gore is scheduled to give a speech in New York tonight. The topic? How Bush Administration policies are accelerating "global warming." The forecast calls for the coldest night in New York in ten years, and the coldest in Boston in fifty years. Reports indicate that Gore intends to use the cold temperatures as evidence in support of his hypothesis. "The extreme conditions are actually the end result of the planet warming," Gore has told advisers, sources say, in explaining his motivations. "The Bush policies are leading to weather extremes."

This is precisely the problem with global warming theory as science. The hypothesis is this: "earth is warming as a result of human industrial activity." It is virtually untestable. How can one test a hypothesis that its proponents claim predicts both hot and cold temperatures? The null hypothesis, "the earth is not warming as a result of human industrial activity" predicts the same thing! It is always going to be one or the other, regardless of the hypothesis veracity. Gore seems to be claiming that weather extremes are predicted by the global warming hypothesis, but weather extremes existed long before society became industrialized.

Further, if one were to document a significant rise in global temperature (something that has not yet been done), wouldn't the hypothesis "the earth is warming as a result of increased solar radiation" be just as valid? After all, enormous "global warming" occurred at the end of the last ice age, and no one is claiming SUVs and power plants as the cause. All this global warming and climate change nonsense is not science; it is social engineering and politics masquerading as science.

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